Industrial · Aerospace & Defense
SpaceX
Series N
Latest valuation — December 2025 insider/secondary share sale ($800B)
$350.0B → $800.0B · Dec 2024–Dec 2025
Probability modeled from funding stage, momentum & liquidity signals.
Valuation Trajectory
Funding-round staircase from founding · log scale. Filled dots are verified marks; hollow dots are the modeled round ladder between them.
IPO Model Drivers
Why the odds read this way
Factor weights are illustrative decompositions of the modeled IPO probability, not guarantees.
Down-Round Risk
Valuation downside pressure
Strong momentum (valuation up 129%) and a late financing stage make a down round unlikely near-term.
Asset brief
SpaceX is an Industrial · Aerospace & Defense company last marked at $800B (cross-verified by 3 independent sources). Stage: Series N. Valuation momentum is +128.6% ($350B → $800B). The transparent model puts IPO odds at 60% over the next 24 months. No verified market-moving events in the last 30 days.
Capital Timeline
Funding & liquidity milestones
Series N
$800B