Industrial · Aerospace & Defense
SpaceX
Starbase, Texas, USA · Series N
Latest valuation — December 2025 insider/secondary share sale ($800B)
$350.0B → $800.0B · Dec 2024–Dec 2025
Probability modeled from funding stage, momentum & liquidity signals.
Valuation Trajectory
Funding-round staircase from founding · log scale. Filled dots are verified marks; hollow dots are the modeled round ladder between them.
IPO Model Drivers
Why the odds read this way
Factor weights are illustrative decompositions of the modeled IPO probability, not guarantees.
Down-Round Risk
Valuation downside pressure
Mixed signals — valuation up 129% with 21% modeled IPO odds keep down-round risk in the middle band.
Asset brief
SpaceX is an Industrial · Aerospace & Defense company last marked at $800B (cross-verified by 3 independent sources). Stage: Series N, $1.9B raised to date. Valuation momentum is +128.6% ($350B → $800B). The transparent model puts IPO odds at 60% over the next 24 months. 8 verified events in the last 30 days — most recently: "SpaceX's $25 Billion Bond Offering Got Investment-Grade Ratings From All Three Agencies -- And the Stock Still Fell 16% Anyway. Here's Why - The Motley Fool".
SpaceX es una empresa aeroespacial y de inteligencia artificial privada estadounidense que diseña, fabrica y lanza cohetes y naves espaciales avanzadas. Fundada en 2002 por Elon Musk, su objetivo principal es reducir los costos del transporte espacial para permitir la colonización de Marte.
Capital Timeline
Funding & liquidity milestones
Backed by
Comparables
Signals
- NewsThe Motley Fool
SpaceX's $25 Billion Bond Offering Got Investment-Grade Ratings From All Three Agencies -- And the Stock Still Fell 16% Anyway. Here's Why - The Motley Fool
- LaunchFlorida Today
FLORIDA TODAY's 321 Launch space newsletter roundup of our latest coverage - Florida Today
- LaunchSpaceflight Now
SpaceX launches 27 Starlink satellites on Falcon 9 rocket from Vandenberg - Spaceflight Now
- NewsThe Motley Fool
Prediction: $25,000 Invested in SpaceX Today Will Be Worth This Much by 2050 - The Motley Fool
- LaunchFlorida Today
NASA astronaut set for Tuesday Soyuz launch - Florida Today
- NewsYahoo Finance
Prediction: $25,000 Invested in SpaceX Today Will Be Worth This Much by 2050 - Yahoo Finance
- NewsAviation Week
SpaceX Gears Up For Starship Flight Test July 16 - Aviation Week
- IPOMoomoo
SpaceX shares have fallen nearly 9% over two days, approaching the IPO offering price of USD 135. - Moomoo